Kim Jong Un retaliated in words to American President Donald Trump’s comments on North Korea in his Speech at the UN General Assembly thus :
” I’ll make the man holding the prerogative of the Supreme Command in the US pay for his speech calling for totally destroying the DPRK. Whatever Trump might have expected, he’ll face results beyond his expectation. He is unfit to hold the prerogative of Supreme Command of a country; and he is surely a rogue and a gangster fond of playing with fire … … rather than a politician.”
” American President, Donald Trump, announced new sanctions by Companies, individuals doing business with North Korea. He also added that China has ordered its banks to stop business with North Korea. “
Will the war of words lead to a real War is what everyone will be watching with bated breath from now on.
Let me first cite the two obvious features of the new world known to most people :
1. Countries around the world face Security and Safety threats increasingly as a result of changing aspirations of people ; easy access to complex technology design & solutions; and consolidation of extreme elements/organizations with similar focus and objectives of war mongering.
2. Countries around the world need to adopt new approaches to improve their design capabilities vis-à-vis their operations/efficiencies of combat and protective systems.
What is less obvious but new and challenging is that nations today need to identify, prioritize, and design strategies to meet the threat and challenge by putting oneself in devoir first before striving for a collective action.
No blame or excuse management is purposed here.
Countries tend to compete in the security sphere, more so today than ever before, as we witness in business and other economic sectors.
In trying to deal with change President Donald Trump is adopting a new approach centered on ‘aggression’ in words, a total departure from the conventional and the dignified approach of ‘diplomacy’ that worked well and works well even this day.
President Donald Trump is possibly hoping that his approach to put fear in the minds of opponents – though an old vine in a new bottle in terms of tactics – may well find support and favor from his audience. In effect this is his different way of thinking (and strategising with wordy duels first) through a different lens.
Whether it really reflects the vast changes in people’s attitudes, expectations, tolerance, capabilities OR the nation’s surveillance, monitoring, strike methods, and implementation efficiency is uncertain at this juncture.
With the above factors in our minds, I now set out to determine the possibility of a War between U.S.A. and DPRK – that I designated as the Top Event in my previous piece titled, “Making Kim Jong Un a Nobody to Everybody” -September 19, 2017.
The figure below represents such a statistical probability clearly :
The individual chances for each of the sub event(s) are specified in fractions in the figure.
The figure clearly indicates that the chance of a War between U.S.A. and DPRK is 0. 145; (1 is the maximum) as of now. It is evedent that there still remains room for measures to avert the catastrophic event spelling dangers to the two nations as well as the general population.
The situation, nevertheless, remains strained. The chance factor does not show the occurrence of the Top Event to be unacceptable or high, but in a situation where emotional declamations run high the Top Event may well be unpredictable, but emphasizes the urgent need for corrective measures.
” Dieu avec nous “
Saturday, September 23, 2017 – 6.49 a.m. (IST).
Tidbit : ” To be prepared for War is one of the most effectual means of preserving peace ” – George Washington : Annual address to both Houses of Congress; 1790.